Thunderstorms expected across the area this evening; moderate severe potential

This afternoon, mid lower Michigan has seen numerous severe thunderstorms form rapidly across the state. Ann Arbor is included in the very south of an area which may receive a severe thunderstorm watch in the next couple hours.

Thunderstorm activity across southern Michigan is likely to increase over the next few hours due to  a very warm, moist, unstable atmosphere; the main threat from any storms is expected to be strong wind gusts, with isolated tornadoes possible.

Reading: SPC MD 0833

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 0833
SPC Mesoscale Discussion 0833

Update: Worth noting: the thunderstorm outlook effective 8pm-midnight puts us at a 10% risk of thunderstorms; as the night comes and temperatures cool, this threat should diminish rapidly after dark.

Thunderstorm Outlook May 20, 2013 8pm-midnight
Thunderstorm Outlook May 20, 2013 8pm-midnight