The SPC’s afternoon thunderstorm outlook puts us at a 10% chance of thunderstorms through 8am tomorrow. Note that this is a diminished risk from this morning’s outlook. We have a 5% chance of hail or damaging wind, but any storms which develop are not likely to be severe.
Thunderstorm Outlook May 29 2013 8pm-midnightThunderstorm Outlook May 30 2013 midnight-8am
The most powerful of these tornadoes were two EF2 tornadoes in Genesee county.
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NOUS43 KDTX 291831
PNSDTX
MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-292030-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
230 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2013
...SIX CONFIRMED TORNADOES YESTERDAY EVENING...
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0847 PM TORNADO 4 W PERRY 42.81N 84.31W
05/28/2013 F0 SHIAWASSEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY
THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF0 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS TO 75 MPH.
PATH WIDTH WAS 50 YARDS...PATH LENGTH 3/4 MILE. THE
TORNADO STARTED AT LANSING AND WARNER ROADS. IT FOLLOWED
LANSING ROAD AND THEN CROSSED I-69. THE TORNADO ENDED AT
THE ENTRANCE RAMP OF THE HIGHWAY REST AREA. MANY TREES
WERE UPROOTED AND SHINGLES WERE TORN OFF A CHURCH.
0852 PM TORNADO MORRICE 42.84N 84.18W
05/28/2013 F0 SHIAWASSEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY
THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF0 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS TO 75 MPH.
PATH WIDTH WAS 50 YARDS...PATH LENGTH 1/2 MILE. THE
TORNADO STARTED AT BETHEMY CEMETARY AND MOVED
NORTHEAST...ENDING AT W BRITTON AND HIDDEN RIDGE ROADS.
TREES WERE UPROOTED AND MANY TREE LIMBS WERE DOWNED.
0901 PM TORNADO 4 N FLINT 43.08N 83.70W
05/28/2013 F1 GENESEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY
THE TORNADO WAS RATED AN EF1 WITH MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF
105 MPH. THE MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 300 YARDS WITH A
TOTAL PATH LENGTH OF 2.3 MILES. THE TORNADO STARTED AT
THE SOUTHERN END OF HASSELBRING PARK AND CONTINUED
NORTHEAST TO AROUND THE INTERSECTION OF HARRY ST AND
HUMPREY AVE. THE GREATEST DAMAGE OCCURRED ALONG SAGINAW
ST INBETWEEN HOLTSLANDER AVE AND DOWNEY AVE. THERE WAS
SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE AS WELL AS TO OLDER COMMERCIAL
BUILDINGS OF SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZE.
0909 PM TORNADO 3 NW BYRON 42.86N 83.99W
05/28/2013 F1 SHIAWASSEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY
THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF1 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS TO 100 MPH.
PATH WIDTH 400 YARDS...PATH LENTH 10 MILES. TORNADO
STARTED JUST SOUTH OF THE BRITTON AND GRAND RIVER ROADS
INTERSECTION. THE TORNADO MOVED NORTHEAST NEAR THE CITIES
OF BYRON AND GAINES...COMING TO AN END AT THE
INTERSECTION OF BALDWIN AND SEYMOUR ROADS. MANY TREES
WERE UPROOTED AND SNAPPED. 50 PERCENT OF A ROOF AND
SIDING WERE TORN OFF A HOME. AN OLD BARN WAS DESTROYED
AND ANOTHER WHOLE ROOF WAS TORN OFF. SEVERAL OTHER ROOFS
WERE DAMAGED.
0930 PM TORNADO 5 NNW FENTON 42.86N 83.75W
05/28/2013 F2 GENESEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY
THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF2 WITH MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 115
MPH. THE MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 500 YARDS WITH A TOTAL
PATH LENGTH 2.8 MILES. THE TORNADO STARTED ALONG ODELL
ROAD SOUTH OF LINDEN ROAD AND CONTINUED TO TORREY ROAD
JUST NORTH OF RAY ROAD. THE GREATEST DAMAGE OCCURRED
ALONG THOMPSON ROAD BETWEEN FAIRBANKS AND JENNINGS ROAD.
THERE WAS SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO HOMES...INCLUDING REMOVAL
OF ROOFS...AND SUBSTANTIAL TREE DAMAGE.
0954 PM TORNADO 4 E GRAND BLANC 42.92N 83.53W
05/28/2013 F2 GENESEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY
THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF2 WITH A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF
130 MPH. THE MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 300 YARDS WITH A
TOTAL PATH LENGTH OF 4.6 MILES. THE TORNADO STARTED NEAR
THE INTERSECTION OF VASSAR ROAD AND POINTE NORTH DRIVE
AND CONTINUED TO STATE ROAD NEAR PERRY ROAD. THE GREATEST
DAMAGE OCCURED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HEGEL ROAD AND
GALE ROAD. A HOUSE WAS NEARLY DESTROYED...A GARAGE WAS
DESTROYED...ALONG WITH EXTERNAL STORAGE FACILITIES.
&&
$$
SF
This afternoon and evening, expect a chance of thunderstorms. Little-to-no risk for tornadoes today. Some isolated storms this afternoon and evening could produce damaging wind and hail – the SPC puts us at a 5% risk for both hail and damaging wind.
More detail: from noon-4pm we see a 10% risk of thunderstorms; briefly increasing to 40% from 4-8pm, then decreasing to 10% after 8pm. The storms from 4-8pm are probably those most likely to become severe, but that severe risk is still very slight.
NWS Detroit’s outlook for today/tonight:
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. THERE IS HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH AND HAIL TO ONE HALF INCH DIAMTER. STORM MOTION WILL BE TO THE
EAST AT 30 MPH. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT IS ABLE TO DEVELOP TODAY
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.
Washtenaw County Emergency Operations Center has this to say: ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH 60 MPH GUSTS, HALF INCH HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
Day 1 Convective Outlook 2013-05-29Day 1 Wind Outlook 2013-05-29Day 1 Hail Outlook 2013-05-29Thunderstorm Outlook 2013-05-29 noon-4pmThunderstorm Outlook 2013-05-29 4-8pmThunderstorm Outlook 2013-05-29 8pm-midnight