The SPC’s afternoon thunderstorm outlook puts us at a 10% chance of thunderstorms through 8am tomorrow. Note that this is a diminished risk from this morning’s outlook. We have a 5% chance of hail or damaging wind, but any storms which develop are not likely to be severe.
Author: Chris Dzombak
May 28 tornado outbreak maps and photos from NWS Detroit
NWS Detroit: six confirmed tornadoes evening of May 28, 2013
The most powerful of these tornadoes were two EF2 tornadoes in Genesee county.
000 NOUS43 KDTX 291831 PNSDTX MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-292030- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 230 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2013 ...SIX CONFIRMED TORNADOES YESTERDAY EVENING... ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0847 PM TORNADO 4 W PERRY 42.81N 84.31W 05/28/2013 F0 SHIAWASSEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF0 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS TO 75 MPH. PATH WIDTH WAS 50 YARDS...PATH LENGTH 3/4 MILE. THE TORNADO STARTED AT LANSING AND WARNER ROADS. IT FOLLOWED LANSING ROAD AND THEN CROSSED I-69. THE TORNADO ENDED AT THE ENTRANCE RAMP OF THE HIGHWAY REST AREA. MANY TREES WERE UPROOTED AND SHINGLES WERE TORN OFF A CHURCH. 0852 PM TORNADO MORRICE 42.84N 84.18W 05/28/2013 F0 SHIAWASSEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF0 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS TO 75 MPH. PATH WIDTH WAS 50 YARDS...PATH LENGTH 1/2 MILE. THE TORNADO STARTED AT BETHEMY CEMETARY AND MOVED NORTHEAST...ENDING AT W BRITTON AND HIDDEN RIDGE ROADS. TREES WERE UPROOTED AND MANY TREE LIMBS WERE DOWNED. 0901 PM TORNADO 4 N FLINT 43.08N 83.70W 05/28/2013 F1 GENESEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY THE TORNADO WAS RATED AN EF1 WITH MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 105 MPH. THE MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 300 YARDS WITH A TOTAL PATH LENGTH OF 2.3 MILES. THE TORNADO STARTED AT THE SOUTHERN END OF HASSELBRING PARK AND CONTINUED NORTHEAST TO AROUND THE INTERSECTION OF HARRY ST AND HUMPREY AVE. THE GREATEST DAMAGE OCCURRED ALONG SAGINAW ST INBETWEEN HOLTSLANDER AVE AND DOWNEY AVE. THERE WAS SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE AS WELL AS TO OLDER COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS OF SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZE. 0909 PM TORNADO 3 NW BYRON 42.86N 83.99W 05/28/2013 F1 SHIAWASSEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF1 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS TO 100 MPH. PATH WIDTH 400 YARDS...PATH LENTH 10 MILES. TORNADO STARTED JUST SOUTH OF THE BRITTON AND GRAND RIVER ROADS INTERSECTION. THE TORNADO MOVED NORTHEAST NEAR THE CITIES OF BYRON AND GAINES...COMING TO AN END AT THE INTERSECTION OF BALDWIN AND SEYMOUR ROADS. MANY TREES WERE UPROOTED AND SNAPPED. 50 PERCENT OF A ROOF AND SIDING WERE TORN OFF A HOME. AN OLD BARN WAS DESTROYED AND ANOTHER WHOLE ROOF WAS TORN OFF. SEVERAL OTHER ROOFS WERE DAMAGED. 0930 PM TORNADO 5 NNW FENTON 42.86N 83.75W 05/28/2013 F2 GENESEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF2 WITH MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 115 MPH. THE MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 500 YARDS WITH A TOTAL PATH LENGTH 2.8 MILES. THE TORNADO STARTED ALONG ODELL ROAD SOUTH OF LINDEN ROAD AND CONTINUED TO TORREY ROAD JUST NORTH OF RAY ROAD. THE GREATEST DAMAGE OCCURRED ALONG THOMPSON ROAD BETWEEN FAIRBANKS AND JENNINGS ROAD. THERE WAS SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO HOMES...INCLUDING REMOVAL OF ROOFS...AND SUBSTANTIAL TREE DAMAGE. 0954 PM TORNADO 4 E GRAND BLANC 42.92N 83.53W 05/28/2013 F2 GENESEE MI NWS STORM SURVEY THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF2 WITH A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 130 MPH. THE MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 300 YARDS WITH A TOTAL PATH LENGTH OF 4.6 MILES. THE TORNADO STARTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF VASSAR ROAD AND POINTE NORTH DRIVE AND CONTINUED TO STATE ROAD NEAR PERRY ROAD. THE GREATEST DAMAGE OCCURED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HEGEL ROAD AND GALE ROAD. A HOUSE WAS NEARLY DESTROYED...A GARAGE WAS DESTROYED...ALONG WITH EXTERNAL STORAGE FACILITIES. && $$ SF
Expect some storms this afternoon; slight severe chance
This afternoon and evening, expect a chance of thunderstorms. Little-to-no risk for tornadoes today. Some isolated storms this afternoon and evening could produce damaging wind and hail – the SPC puts us at a 5% risk for both hail and damaging wind.
More detail: from noon-4pm we see a 10% risk of thunderstorms; briefly increasing to 40% from 4-8pm, then decreasing to 10% after 8pm. The storms from 4-8pm are probably those most likely to become severe, but that severe risk is still very slight.
NWS Detroit’s outlook for today/tonight:
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. THERE IS HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL TO ONE HALF INCH DIAMTER. STORM MOTION WILL BE TO THE EAST AT 30 MPH. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT IS ABLE TO DEVELOP TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.
Washtenaw County Emergency Operations Center has this to say: ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH 60 MPH GUSTS, HALF INCH HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.